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Exit polls show Democrats leading in North Carolina early voting. This is BIG news.

Exit polls show  Democrats have an eight-point lead in the early balloting in North Carolina.
 
It is a small sample, but this is why Republicans are freaking in North Carolina and nationally:

nc-early-vote

Democrats always expect to do better in the early vote. Republicans expect to do better in terms of votes cast on election day, but even given that, this eight-point margin for the Democrats is really good. According to the Associated Press, Republicans were leading in early voting at this point in the race four years ago, not Democrats. They had a 43%-38% lead on early ballots at this point in 2012.
Mitt Romney went on to win North Carolina in 2012.

If Donald Trump loses North Carolina, he loses the election. It doesn’t matter what happens in Ohio or Florida or any of the other swing states. If Clinton flips a red state and maintains her “blue wall,” she will win the election.

When one digs down in almost every poll, they can see problems for Donald Trump. Trump is running at levels that are lower than both Mitt Romney and John McCain with key Republican constituencies.

There is a lot of hype building in the media for the upcoming presidential debate. The corporate press has a financial interest in making the election seem close to portray the debate as a make or break moment.

The North Carolina data is a reminder that while there is much more work for Democrats to do, Hillary Clinton is in a very good position.

This election won’t be on the debate stage. The next president will be determined by the campaign that can get their voters mobilized, and the early data from North Carolina suggests that the Democrats’ superior ground game is paying dividends. 

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